Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -300 CSUN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +12 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -7.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -5.3 (+6.7) | 131.9 (-15.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -7.7 (+4.3) | 130.6 (-14.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -5.4 (+6.6) | 132.1 (-16.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -5.3 (+6.7) | 132.5 (-16.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-8 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#221) | -6.1 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#206) | -2.84 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#222) | -3.13 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#202) | 0.326 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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