Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -600 PORT +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -7.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -7.2 (+5.8) | 150.6 (-21.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -8.4 (+4.6) | 148.4 (-19.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -7.6 (+5.4) | 148.9 (-19.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -7.6 (+5.4) | 150.2 (-21.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | BYU 82 – 71 PORT |
| Jan 23, 2022 | BYU 78 – 65 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2021 | BYU 105 – 60 PORT |
| Jan 22, 2021 | BYU 95 – 67 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#93) | 2.1 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#95) | -0.42 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#84) | -0.33 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#115) | 0.457 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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