Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | BYU -278 PORT +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -6.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -5.7 (+5.3) | 153.1 (-0.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -6.1 (+4.9) | 152.4 (+0.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -5.7 (+5.3) | 154.7 (-1.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -5.9 (+5.1) | 154.2 (-1.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2023 | BYU 71 – 58 PORT |
| Jan 23, 2022 | BYU 78 – 65 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2021 | BYU 105 – 60 PORT |
| Jan 22, 2021 | BYU 95 – 67 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#81) | 0.7 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#120) | -0.13 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#98) | 0.15 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#138) | 0.483 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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