Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -19.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -15.6 (-2.6) | 144.1 (-1.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -18.0 (-5.0) | 143.9 (-0.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -15.0 (-2.0) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -16.4 (-3.4) | 142.5 (+0.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | BYU 82 – 71 PORT |
| Jan 1, 2023 | BYU 71 – 58 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2021 | BYU 105 – 60 PORT |
| Jan 22, 2021 | BYU 95 – 67 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#29) | -3.8 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#30) | -0.50 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#26) | -0.64 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#9) | 0.448 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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