Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -8000 PORT +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +28 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -24.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -21.3 (+6.7) | 152.1 (+9.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -16.9 (+11.1) | 150.1 (+11.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -19.6 (+8.4) | 148.3 (+13.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -21.5 (+6.5) | 149.9 (+12.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | BYU 82 – 71 PORT |
| Jan 1, 2023 | BYU 71 – 58 PORT |
| Jan 23, 2022 | BYU 78 – 65 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2021 | BYU 105 – 60 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 0-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 7-2 | 1-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 85.1 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#36) | -9.8 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#18) | -0.77 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#28) | -1.87 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#14) | 0.458 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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