Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +1700 BYU -2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +45 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -19.8 (-25.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -19.4 (-25.6) | 148.3 (+16.7) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -12.9 (-32.1) | 151.4 (+13.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -16.0 (-29.0) | 148.3 (+16.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -18.0 (-27.0) | 148.1 (+16.9) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | BYU 82 – 71 PORT |
| Jan 1, 2023 | BYU 71 – 58 PORT |
| Jan 23, 2022 | BYU 78 – 65 PORT |
| Jan 22, 2021 | BYU 95 – 67 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 20-7 |
| Conference | 0-11 | 10-3 |
| Home | 5-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L13 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.1 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#324) | 11.1 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#264) | 2.54 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#303) | 3.15 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#266) | 0.627 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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