I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Dartmouth Big Green
63 – 74
FINAL Conference
Cornell Big Red
Ivy League · Leede Arena · January 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread COR -8.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money DART +333 / COR -333
Model Predictions
Spread Total DART win
Actual COR +11 137 Lost
Massey COR -8.3 (-2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 149.4 (-12.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 9% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 4% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COR -9.4 (-1.6) 146.9 (-9.9) 18% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COR -8.0 (-3.0) 150.3 (-13.3) 21% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COR -8.5 (-2.5) 147.1 (-10.1) 22% ✓
Baseline ML COR -9.5 (-1.5) 145.8 (-8.8) 16% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 COR 111 – 90 DART
Jan 10, 2026 DART 102 – 91 COR
Mar 15, 2025 COR 87 – 71 DART
Feb 15, 2025 DART 88 – 49 COR
Feb 1, 2025 COR 76 – 64 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DART COR
Overall 10-18 17-11
Conference 6-8 7-7
Home 7-5 11-2
Away 3-11 6-8
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak W1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.9 80.4
Avg Pts Against 74.4 77.3
Massey -8.9 (#320) 3.8 (#110)
Bradley-Terry -2.21 (#342) 0.88 (#97)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.00 (#342) 1.22 (#96)
RPI 0.382 (#349) 0.523 (#136)
Shooting & Four Factors DART COR
FG% 39.7% 48.5%
3PT% 30.1% 35.7%
REB / G 34.5 34.8
OREB / G 8.5 10.9
AST / TO 0.79 1.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.3% 57.0%
TOV% 21.4% 16.2%
ORB% 23.3% 31.0%
FT Rate 18.6% 13.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 20.7%
DRB% 72.6% 70.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 15.8%

Game Analysis

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