Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TEM +155 CIN -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -2.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -2.3 (+11.3) | 144.2 (-13.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -1.8 (+10.8) | 141.2 (-10.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -1.6 (+10.6) | 144.1 (-13.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -2.2 (+11.2) | 144.9 (-13.9) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | CIN 84 – 54 TEM |
| Feb 23, 2023 | CIN 88 – 83 TEM |
| Feb 20, 2022 | TEM 75 – 71 CIN |
| Jan 26, 2022 | TEM 61 – 58 CIN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | CIN 71 – 69 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 16-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#171) | 6.6 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#193) | 0.70 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#184) | 0.80 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#156) | 0.539 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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