Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | CIN -360 TEM +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -6.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -5.6 (-9.6) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -6.1 (-10.1) | 138.5 (+7.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -5.3 (-9.3) | 137.5 (+8.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -5.3 (-9.3) | 138.3 (+7.7) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | CIN 84 – 54 TEM |
| Feb 23, 2023 | CIN 88 – 83 TEM |
| Jan 1, 2023 | TEM 70 – 61 CIN |
| Jan 26, 2022 | TEM 61 – 58 CIN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | CIN 71 – 69 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#77) | 3.3 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#98) | 0.98 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#90) | 0.92 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#114) | 0.529 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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