Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -275 TEM +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -5.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -4.8 (-2.8) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -3.0 (-1.0) | 136.7 (+3.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -4.5 (-2.5) | 136.3 (+3.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -5.0 (-3.0) | 135.7 (+4.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | CIN 84 – 54 TEM |
| Feb 23, 2023 | CIN 88 – 83 TEM |
| Jan 1, 2023 | TEM 70 – 61 CIN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | TEM 75 – 71 CIN |
| Jan 26, 2022 | TEM 61 – 58 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 5-11 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-10 |
| Home | 5-5 | 3-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#113) | 1.1 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#101) | 0.58 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#97) | 0.97 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#112) | 0.487 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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