Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -500 TEM +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -9.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -8.4 (-3.4) | 144.0 (+27.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -7.7 (-2.7) | 145.0 (+26.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -8.2 (-3.2) | 146.5 (+24.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -8.3 (-3.3) | 147.6 (+23.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | CIN 84 – 54 TEM |
| Jan 1, 2023 | TEM 70 – 61 CIN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | TEM 75 – 71 CIN |
| Jan 26, 2022 | TEM 61 – 58 CIN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | CIN 71 – 69 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#58) | 3.1 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#92) | 0.50 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#92) | 0.57 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#101) | 0.527 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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