Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -210 TEM +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +30 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -5.6 (+24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -4.2 (+25.8) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -4.4 (+25.6) | 143.9 (-5.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -4.9 (+25.1) | 144.5 (-6.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -4.3 (+25.7) | 146.3 (-8.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | CIN 88 – 83 TEM |
| Jan 1, 2023 | TEM 70 – 61 CIN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | TEM 75 – 71 CIN |
| Jan 26, 2022 | TEM 61 – 58 CIN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | CIN 71 – 69 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#55) | 3.7 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#87) | 0.52 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#88) | 0.63 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#99) | 0.523 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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