Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | TEM +155 CIN -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -2.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -1.9 (+4.9) | 136.6 (-17.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -2.2 (+5.2) | 138.1 (-19.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -1.6 (+4.6) | 136.3 (-17.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -1.8 (+4.8) | 137.6 (-18.6) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | CIN 84 – 54 TEM |
| Feb 23, 2023 | CIN 88 – 83 TEM |
| Jan 1, 2023 | TEM 70 – 61 CIN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | TEM 75 – 71 CIN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | CIN 71 – 69 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#127) | 8.4 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#98) | 1.27 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#119) | 1.85 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#122) | 0.543 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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