Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN +145 BTLR -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +29 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -4.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -5.1 (-23.9) | 145.1 (-14.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -4.1 (-24.9) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -3.7 (-25.3) | 144.0 (-13.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -4.0 (-25.0) | 143.9 (-12.9) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 6-14 |
| Home | 5-12 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#198) | 6.9 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#230) | 1.03 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#220) | 1.43 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#188) | 0.538 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 13.1% |
Game Analysis
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