Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -1000 UIC +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +34 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -16.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -13.6 (+20.4) | 131.2 (-7.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -14.0 (+20.0) | 131.3 (-7.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -11.7 (+22.3) | 131.0 (-7.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -13.9 (+20.1) | 131.6 (-7.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UIC 93 – 86 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UIC 85 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UIC 93 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 60 UIC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRAD 74 – 47 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#68) | -4.5 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#88) | -0.23 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#92) | -0.60 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#100) | 0.491 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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