Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -1000 UIC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +27 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -9.6 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -9.2 (+17.8) | 140.2 (-19.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -10.3 (+16.7) | 138.2 (-17.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -9.3 (+17.7) | 139.8 (-18.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -9.3 (+17.7) | 139.6 (-18.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UIC 93 – 86 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UIC 85 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UIC 93 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 60 UIC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | BRAD 85 – 73 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#65) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#78) | -0.50 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#82) | -0.30 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#40) | 0.471 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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