Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -1600 UIC +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +12 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -12.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -12.2 (-0.2) | 140.6 (+17.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -13.6 (-1.6) | 140.1 (+17.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -10.9 (+1.1) | 139.7 (+18.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -11.1 (+0.9) | 140.4 (+17.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UIC 93 – 86 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UIC 85 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UIC 93 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 60 UIC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRAD 74 – 47 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#68) | -0.8 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#76) | -0.60 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#83) | -0.30 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#41) | 0.471 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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