Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -130 BRAD +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +7 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -3.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+33.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -3.2 (+3.8) | 140.7 (+38.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -3.7 (+3.3) | 140.2 (+38.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -3.5 (+3.5) | 140.4 (+38.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -3.7 (+3.3) | 140.2 (+38.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UIC 85 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UIC 93 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 60 UIC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRAD 74 – 47 UIC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | BRAD 85 – 73 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#107) | 3.7 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#155) | 0.53 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#142) | 0.55 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#141) | 0.536 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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