Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +135 BRAD -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +1 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -0.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -1.4 (-2.4) | 148.7 (-27.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -0.3 (-1.3) | 145.5 (-24.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.0 (-2.0) | 148.7 (-27.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.5 (-1.5) | 149.5 (-28.5) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UIC 93 – 86 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UIC 85 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UIC 93 – 70 BRAD |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRAD 74 – 47 UIC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | BRAD 85 – 73 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#137) | 5.1 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#105) | 1.63 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#124) | 1.65 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#77) | 0.570 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 42.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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