Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -380 UIC +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +23 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -9.9 (-32.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -10.7 (-33.7) | 150.7 (+12.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -10.3 (-33.3) | 150.3 (+12.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -10.3 (-33.3) | 149.1 (+13.9) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -10.2 (-33.2) | 150.3 (+12.7) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UIC 93 – 86 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UIC 85 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 60 UIC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRAD 74 – 47 UIC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | BRAD 85 – 73 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#69) | 1.9 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#43) | 0.81 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#56) | 0.76 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#38) | 0.554 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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