What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Bradley Braves
70 93
FINAL Conference
UIC Flames
Missouri Valley Conference · Carver Arena · January 30, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BRAD -8.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money BRAD -380 / UIC +290
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRAD win
Actual UIC +23 163 Lost
Massey BRAD -9.9 (-32.9)
Massey Totals 153.7 (+9.3)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 91%
Efficiency Plus ML BRAD -10.3 (-33.3) 150.3 (+12.7) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML BRAD -10.3 (-33.3) 149.1 (+13.9) 84%
Baseline ML BRAD -10.2 (-33.2) 150.3 (+12.7) 82%
Baseline Plus ML BRAD -10.7 (-33.7) 150.7 (+12.3) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 UIC 9386 BRAD
Jan 25, 2026 UIC 8570 BRAD
Jan 11, 2025 BRAD 6160 UIC
Mar 9, 2024 BRAD 7447 UIC
Feb 15, 2024 BRAD 8573 UIC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRAD UIC
Overall 28-9 17-14
Conference 15-5 10-10
Home 14-4 9-5
Away 9-3 7-6
Neutral 5-2 1-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 74.1
Avg Pts Against 69.3 75.3
Massey 8.5 (#69) 1.9 (#135)
Bradley-Terry 2.25 (#43) 0.81 (#103)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.35 (#56) 0.76 (#119)
RPI 0.598 (#38) 0.554 (#82)
Shooting & Four Factors BRAD UIC
FG% 48.7% 46.0%
3PT% 40.5% 34.8%
REB / G 35.1 37.5
OREB / G 8.3 11.4
AST / TO 1.20 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.4% 53.0%
TOV% 17.9% 18.7%
ORB% 27.3% 32.9%
FT Rate 27.6% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.8% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 14.9%
DRB% 71.3% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 26.1% 23.7%

Game Analysis

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