Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -305 UIC +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +15 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -4.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -4.5 (-19.5) | 145.1 (+9.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -4.3 (-19.3) | 142.9 (+12.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -4.1 (-19.1) | 140.7 (+14.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -4.5 (-19.5) | 142.3 (+12.7) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UIC 93 – 86 BRAD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UIC 93 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 60 UIC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRAD 74 – 47 UIC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | BRAD 85 – 73 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#127) | 1.3 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#121) | -0.46 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#125) | -0.32 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#96) | 0.482 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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