Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -4000 COPP +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +33 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -25.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -25.1 (+7.9) | 146.4 (+0.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -23.2 (+9.8) | 148.4 (-1.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -22.5 (+10.5) | 146.5 (+0.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -23.7 (+9.3) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-10 |
| Home | 14-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#11) | -6.2 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#107) | -0.46 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#74) | -0.73 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#96) | 0.494 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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