Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MTST -250 EWU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | MTST -8.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -6.0 (-9.0) | 142.1 (-5.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -5.5 (-8.5) | 140.9 (-3.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -5.9 (-8.9) | 142.3 (-5.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -6.3 (-9.3) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MTST 68 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MTST 74 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EWU 68 – 63 MTST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | EWU 108 – 104 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 10-5 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#124) | -0.8 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#154) | -0.37 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#148) | -0.49 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#142) | 0.473 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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