Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -120 UCR +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -3.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -0.9 (-1.9) | 151.3 (-6.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -1.8 (-2.8) | 151.1 (-6.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -1.8 (-2.8) | 151.5 (-6.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -0.8 (-1.8) | 152.2 (-7.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCR 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 73 UCR |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCR 87 – 66 LBSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCR 76 – 60 LBSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | LBSU 86 – 67 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#170) | 1.4 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#218) | 0.57 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#176) | 0.43 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#214) | 0.518 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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