Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -450 UIW +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -10.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -6.4 (+1.6) | 136.6 (+19.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -8.7 (-0.7) | 134.1 (+21.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -6.9 (+1.1) | 138.2 (+17.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -5.6 (+2.4) | 139.1 (+16.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UIW 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Jan 19, 2026 | ETAM 80 – 58 UIW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UIW 75 – 68 ETAM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UIW 65 – 53 ETAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ETAM 76 – 72 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#274) | -11.7 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#272) | -1.44 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#295) | -2.19 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#281) | 0.416 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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