Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -138 UNCG +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -3.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -1.7 (-10.7) | 131.6 (+5.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -2.2 (-11.2) | 130.4 (+6.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -2.0 (-11.0) | 130.8 (+6.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.9 (-9.9) | 132.1 (+4.9) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#201) | -0.1 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#202) | -0.24 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#184) | -0.46 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#213) | 0.499 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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