Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -163 AMCC +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -5.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -4.2 (-10.2) | 147.2 (-23.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -2.9 (-8.9) | 145.1 (-21.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -3.7 (-9.7) | 146.3 (-22.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -3.8 (-9.8) | 147.2 (-23.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | AMCC 71 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NWST 79 – 78 AMCC |
| Mar 10, 2025 | NWST 66 – 63 AMCC |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AMCC 73 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AMCC 72 – 61 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#196) | -1.7 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#78) | -0.62 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#116) | -0.53 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#57) | 0.471 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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