Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WCU +650 FUR -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -5.6 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -4.8 (+16.8) | 148.6 (-2.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -7.7 (+19.7) | 146.3 (-0.3) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -5.4 (+17.4) | 147.3 (-1.3) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -5.5 (+17.5) | 148.2 (-2.2) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#312) | 2.0 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#309) | 0.41 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#328) | 0.40 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#313) | 0.519 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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