Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -275 NAU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -8.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -5.8 (+10.2) | 141.7 (-5.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -7.6 (+8.4) | 137.5 (-1.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -6.0 (+10.0) | 141.9 (-5.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -6.1 (+9.9) | 141.7 (-5.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#205) | -5.2 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#196) | -1.20 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#201) | -1.50 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#194) | 0.440 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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