Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UND +110 NDSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +22 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | UND -4.9 (-26.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -2.0 (-24.0) | 143.2 (-23.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -0.4 (-22.4) | 141.6 (-21.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -2.7 (-24.7) | 143.2 (-23.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -2.3 (-24.3) | 142.8 (-22.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NDSU 70 – 62 UND |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NDSU 83 – 66 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NDSU 87 – 82 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#292) | -6.9 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#278) | -2.26 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#280) | -2.77 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#296) | 0.435 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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