Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -400 PRES +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +18 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -14.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -9.1 (+8.9) | 131.8 (-11.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -8.0 (+10.0) | 131.4 (-11.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -8.9 (+9.1) | 134.5 (-14.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -9.3 (+8.7) | 134.0 (-14.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 1-17 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-10 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#151) | -8.4 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#270) | -1.80 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#268) | -1.74 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#269) | 0.395 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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