Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -110 SHSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +13 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -1.4 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -1.4 (-11.6) | 137.8 (-0.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -1.6 (-11.4) | 132.9 (+4.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.8 (-12.2) | 138.0 (-1.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.9 (-12.1) | 138.8 (-1.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SHSU 69 – 61 NMSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NMSU 87 – 78 SHSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SHSU 76 – 69 NMSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | NMSU 75 – 71 SHSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SHSU 79 – 58 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 61.7 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#95) | 10.9 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#159) | 2.04 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#123) | 2.39 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#144) | 0.601 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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