I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Summit League · Sanford Coyote Sports Center · December 31, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SDAK -3.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money SDAK -150 / WIU +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDAK win
Actual SDAK +17 143 Won
Massey WIU -0.3 (+17.3) — —
Massey Totals — 146.0 (-3.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 58% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 56% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIU -0.4 (+17.4) 145.5 (-2.5) 48% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WIU -0.8 (+17.8) 147.8 (-4.8) 47% ✗
Baseline ML WIU -0.1 (+17.1) 148.5 (-5.5) 48% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WIU -0.7 (+17.7) 148.1 (-5.1) 45% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 14, 2024 SDAK 89 – 66 WIU
Dec 3, 2023 SDAK 70 – 68 WIU
Jan 27, 2023 WIU 75 – 72 SDAK
Feb 19, 2022 SDAK 78 – 65 WIU
Jan 25, 2022 SDAK 75 – 72 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDAK WIU
Overall 12-19 16-14
Conference 7-11 9-9
Home 8-6 11-4
Away 2-11 5-9
Neutral 2-2 0-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.9 70.9
Avg Pts Against 74.5 73.8
Massey -9.0 (#321) -4.1 (#250)
Bradley-Terry -0.62 (#234) -0.06 (#177)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.11 (#259) -0.36 (#197)
RPI 0.464 (#239) 0.487 (#201)
Shooting & Four Factors SDAK WIU
FG% 40.3% 44.2%
3PT% 38.1% 31.2%
REB / G 34.0 32.6
OREB / G 9.9 8.6
AST / TO 0.83 1.28
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 50.2%
TOV% 20.9% 15.9%
ORB% 28.7% 24.7%
FT Rate 23.8% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 17.3%
DRB% 68.8% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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