Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK -150 WIU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -0.3 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -0.7 (+17.7) | 148.1 (-5.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -0.1 (+17.1) | 148.5 (-5.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -0.8 (+17.8) | 147.8 (-4.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -0.4 (+17.4) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | SDAK 89 – 66 WIU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SDAK 70 – 68 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 SDAK |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SDAK 78 – 65 WIU |
| Jan 25, 2022 | SDAK 75 – 72 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#321) | -4.1 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#234) | -0.06 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#259) | -0.36 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#239) | 0.487 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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