I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Summit League · Sanford Coyote Sports Center · February 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SDAK -4.0 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money SDAK -185 / WIU +165
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDAK win
Actual SDAK +13 143 Won
Massey SDAK -2.4 (+10.6) — —
Massey Totals — 152.1 (-9.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SDAK -3.7 (+9.3) 152.2 (-9.2) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SDAK -4.0 (+9.0) 154.3 (-11.3) 69% ✓
Baseline ML SDAK -3.8 (+9.2) 156.0 (-13.0) 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SDAK -4.2 (+8.8) 156.9 (-13.9) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 14, 2024 SDAK 89 – 66 WIU
Dec 3, 2023 SDAK 70 – 68 WIU
Jan 27, 2023 WIU 75 – 72 SDAK
Dec 31, 2022 SDAK 80 – 63 WIU
Jan 25, 2022 SDAK 75 – 72 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDAK WIU
Overall 19-12 16-16
Conference 11-7 7-11
Home 12-4 9-6
Away 6-7 7-9
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 73.7 76.8
Avg Pts Against 72.5 77.7
Massey -3.2 (#228) -2.8 (#224)
Bradley-Terry -0.33 (#207) -0.51 (#220)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.56 (#213) -0.69 (#221)
RPI 0.482 (#206) 0.461 (#240)
Shooting & Four Factors SDAK WIU
FG% 45.6% 43.2%
3PT% 36.9% 33.8%
REB / G 34.4 38.2
OREB / G 8.9 11.8
AST / TO 1.07 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 50.2%
TOV% 15.6% 16.2%
ORB% 27.2% 29.5%
FT Rate 27.1% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 17.6%
DRB% 77.5% 77.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.1% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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