Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK -185 WIU +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -2.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -4.2 (+8.8) | 156.9 (-13.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -3.8 (+9.2) | 156.0 (-13.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -4.0 (+9.0) | 154.3 (-11.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -3.7 (+9.3) | 152.2 (-9.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | SDAK 89 – 66 WIU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SDAK 70 – 68 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SDAK 80 – 63 WIU |
| Jan 25, 2022 | SDAK 75 – 72 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#228) | -2.8 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#207) | -0.51 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#213) | -0.69 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#206) | 0.461 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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