Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | WIU -250 SDAK +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -6.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -2.8 (-5.8) | 150.2 (-3.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -3.0 (-6.0) | 152.1 (-5.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -3.4 (-6.4) | 154.1 (-7.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -3.7 (-6.7) | 153.4 (-6.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | SDAK 89 – 66 WIU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SDAK 70 – 68 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SDAK 80 – 63 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SDAK 78 – 65 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#198) | -4.6 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#188) | -0.29 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#206) | -0.50 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#212) | 0.470 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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