Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | WIU +100 SDAK +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -2.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -1.3 (-0.7) | 146.7 (-8.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -0.8 (-1.2) | 146.3 (-8.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -0.8 (-1.2) | 146.1 (-8.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -0.5 (-1.5) | 148.0 (-10.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | SDAK 89 – 66 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SDAK 80 – 63 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SDAK 78 – 65 WIU |
| Jan 25, 2022 | SDAK 75 – 72 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 10-6 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 81.5 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#333) | -2.1 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#278) | -1.93 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#273) | -2.81 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#296) | 0.384 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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