Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -550 WIU +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +23 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -11.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -8.2 (+14.8) | 153.4 (+1.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -9.5 (+13.5) | 152.6 (+2.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -10.2 (+12.8) | 154.2 (+0.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -11.7 (+11.3) | 153.0 (+2.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | SDAK 70 – 68 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SDAK 80 – 63 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SDAK 78 – 65 WIU |
| Jan 25, 2022 | SDAK 75 – 72 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.6 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#189) | -9.2 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#173) | -1.22 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#194) | -2.73 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#184) | 0.407 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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