Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -175 SDAK +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -8.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -4.8 (-1.8) | 139.8 (+7.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -6.3 (-3.3) | 142.6 (+4.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -6.4 (-3.4) | 142.0 (+5.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -6.3 (-3.3) | 140.4 (+6.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | SDAK 89 – 66 WIU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SDAK 70 – 68 WIU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SDAK 80 – 63 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SDAK 78 – 65 WIU |
| Jan 25, 2022 | SDAK 75 – 72 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#243) | -9.1 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#198) | -0.78 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#214) | -1.24 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#212) | 0.444 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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