Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -4000 UTSA +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +23 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -23.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -21.2 (+1.8) | 156.0 (+1.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -17.1 (+5.9) | 159.5 (-2.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -19.9 (+3.1) | 158.8 (-1.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -20.2 (+2.8) | 158.5 (-1.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UAB 83 – 73 UTSA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UAB 81 – 78 UTSA |
| Jan 3, 2024 | UAB 78 – 76 UTSA |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UAB 83 – 78 UTSA |
| Feb 25, 2022 | UAB 68 – 56 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 17-2 | 8-10 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#49) | -9.4 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#51) | -1.44 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#58) | -1.37 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#45) | 0.407 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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