Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -1200 UTSA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -11.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -11.6 (-8.6) | 156.7 (+2.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -10.2 (-7.2) | 159.1 (-0.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -9.9 (-6.9) | 159.1 (-0.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -10.6 (-7.6) | 158.5 (+0.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UAB 83 – 73 UTSA |
| Jan 3, 2024 | UAB 78 – 76 UTSA |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UAB 83 – 78 UTSA |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UAB 90 – 67 UTSA |
| Feb 25, 2022 | UAB 68 – 56 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 77.5 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#111) | -4.1 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#195) | -0.45 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#174) | -0.73 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#195) | 0.501 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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