Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -18.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -11.6 (-0.4) | 149.8 (-25.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -12.5 (+0.5) | 146.9 (-22.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -12.8 (+0.8) | 148.6 (-24.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -12.3 (+0.3) | 150.4 (-26.4) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UAB 83 – 73 UTSA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UAB 81 – 78 UTSA |
| Jan 3, 2024 | UAB 78 – 76 UTSA |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UAB 83 – 78 UTSA |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UAB 90 – 67 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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