Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO +120 SIUE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -2.2 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -3.7 (+12.7) | 145.7 (+9.3) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -1.7 (+10.7) | 145.8 (+9.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -2.0 (+11.0) | 143.9 (+11.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.8 (+11.8) | 143.4 (+11.6) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#242) | 3.2 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#256) | 0.96 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#253) | 1.06 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#234) | 0.540 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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