Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -450 IDHO +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -7.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -6.2 (+4.8) | 145.2 (-22.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -6.1 (+4.9) | 140.8 (-17.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -5.5 (+5.5) | 146.0 (-23.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -5.4 (+5.6) | 147.8 (-24.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#164) | -3.0 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#213) | -1.37 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#208) | -1.66 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#209) | 0.384 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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