Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | COLU +800 YALE -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -18.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -13.3 (+15.3) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -12.6 (+14.6) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -13.2 (+15.2) | 131.3 (-9.3) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -14.6 (+16.6) | 132.0 (-10.0) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | YALE 60 – 54 COLU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | YALE 91 – 74 COLU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YALE 90 – 64 COLU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YALE 84 – 76 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 10-4 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-1 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 64.3 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#341) | 12.0 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#343) | 1.40 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#339) | 1.69 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#357) | 0.550 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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