Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +200 USI -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +11 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | USI -2.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -2.5 (+13.5) | 147.3 (+23.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -4.7 (+15.7) | 146.1 (+24.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -2.3 (+13.3) | 145.9 (+25.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -1.7 (+12.7) | 147.7 (+23.3) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | USI 70 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | EIU 59 – 51 USI |
| Feb 21, 2025 | EIU 63 – 54 USI |
| Jan 25, 2025 | USI 64 – 60 EIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | EIU 81 – 71 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#331) | -2.4 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#330) | -0.13 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#327) | -0.34 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#346) | 0.491 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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