Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -8000 WMU +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -22.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -17.9 (-7.9) | 132.5 (+9.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -20.2 (-10.2) | 131.0 (+11.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -18.0 (-8.0) | 134.4 (+7.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -19.6 (-9.6) | 134.8 (+7.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#58) | -9.2 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#16) | -2.73 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.73 (#12) | -3.82 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#14) | 0.399 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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