Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UNCW -1400 HAMP +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +17 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -21.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -17.3 (-0.3) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -16.7 (+0.3) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -15.9 (+1.1) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -17.9 (-0.9) | 144.8 (+2.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNCW 75 – 67 HAMP |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNCW 49 – 45 HAMP |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 65 HAMP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HAMP 83 – 70 UNCW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UNCW 83 – 62 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#100) | -12.0 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#25) | -1.91 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#33) | -2.60 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#21) | 0.414 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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