Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -163 PFW +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -7.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -5.4 (-10.4) | 151.3 (-4.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -4.5 (-9.5) | 151.5 (-4.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -5.0 (-10.0) | 151.1 (-4.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -5.3 (-10.3) | 151.7 (-4.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | YSU 90 – 61 PFW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | PFW 71 – 69 YSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | YSU 72 – 67 PFW |
| Feb 12, 2025 | YSU 93 – 71 PFW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PFW 90 – 81 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#90) | 2.7 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#119) | 0.46 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#109) | 0.64 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#158) | 0.499 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 13.8% |
Game Analysis
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