Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -230 PFW +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -8.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -5.0 (-7.0) | 143.7 (-3.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -5.6 (-7.6) | 142.4 (-2.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -5.6 (-7.6) | 141.2 (-1.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -5.4 (-7.4) | 142.1 (-2.1) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | YSU 90 – 61 PFW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | YSU 72 – 67 PFW |
| Feb 12, 2025 | YSU 93 – 71 PFW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PFW 90 – 81 YSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PFW 82 – 78 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#189) | -6.4 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#222) | -0.21 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#225) | -0.77 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#242) | 0.480 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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