Youngstown State
Penguins
72
–
67
FINAL
Conference
Barbasol Horizon League
Purdue Fort Wayne
Mastodons
Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -110 PFW -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -0.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -1.6 (+3.4) | 151.4 (-12.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -1.3 (+3.7) | 151.5 (-12.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -1.4 (+3.6) | 154.9 (-15.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.2 (+3.8) | 154.6 (-15.6) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | YSU 90 – 61 PFW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | PFW 71 – 69 YSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | YSU 93 – 71 PFW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PFW 90 – 81 YSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PFW 82 – 78 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#205) | 0.6 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#181) | 0.06 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#177) | 0.15 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#220) | 0.515 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.